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Robust Quarter Ends Record-Breaking Year: Matthews South 2025 Year-End Convertible Market Review

by Laurence Xu | January 6, 2026 | Convertible, Convertible & Call Spread, Market Review

As part of our market update series, below are some key takeaways from the convertible market in 2025.
  • 2025 was a record-breaking year, surpassing 2020 as the most active year in the history of the US convertible market.  Q4 new issuance activity remained robust with ~$34 billion in supply, bringing total issuance for the year to ~$124 billion.
  • Refinancing activity dominated convertible issuance in 2025: approximately 50% of issuers this year used convertible proceeds to repay outstanding debt obligations.
  • Similar to prior years, technology was again the most robust sector in 2025, accounting for 32% of new issuance volume.  There was also a resurgence of healthcare transactions in Q4, and a number of precious metal / rare earth companies accessed the market in the second half of the year.
  • In 2025, there were 51 convertible transactions with a size of $1 billion or greater.  With favorable market conditions, companies were able to execute mega-financing deals in an efficient manner.
  • Issuers achieved historically attractive financing terms in 2025: 46 deals were priced at zero coupon and ~45% of deals achieved <1% coupon.  The rate cut cycle was a key catalyst driving ultra-low financing costs.
New Issuance:  Q4 2025 saw 39 new issue convertible deals (38 debt and 1 mandatory) for a total volume of $33.6 billion, bringing aggregate 2025 issuance to ~$124 billion across 152 offerings.  2025 has surpassed 2020 to be the most active year on record.  With elevated volatility and attractive equity valuations providing a favorable market backdrop, the robust volumes have been primarily driven by the refinancing of paper issued during the 2020-21 Covid era with about half of issuers this year using convertible proceeds to repay outstanding debt.  Average deal size during 2025 was ~$790 million, well above the 5-year average of ~$625 million due to the increase in the number of mega-transactions that priced during the year (51 issuances of $1 billion or greater).

Issuance was spread across a variety of sectors.  Technology companies led the group again this year, with 40 new issues raising a collective $49 billion and accounting for 32% of total volume.  Notably, the second half of the year saw a surge in issuance from the AI infrastructure space as well as from precious metals companies.  Separately, we saw renewed investor interest in the healthcare space after a few quiet years with higher rates and compressed equity valuations.  We expect the healthcare sector to remain active in the new year.  Separately, a few precious metal and rare earth companies also accessed the convertible market in the second half of the year.

Terms:  With the Federal Reserve cutting benchmark rates three times in the latter half of the year and two of the cuts in the last quarter, the new issue environment remained extremely constructive.  The average coupon in Q4 2025 was 1.90%, representing a ~70 basis points improvement compared to 2024 levels.  The significant coupon tightening underscored the historically attractive market conditions.  The same trend can be seen in individual sectors, as technology and healthcare average coupons hit a record low over the last four years as well.  It is worth noting that for Q4 healthcare convertible deals, the average coupon stands at sub-0.50% with three of the six deals pricing at zero coupon.  These contributed to some notable highlights across the year: 46 deals were priced at zero coupon and ~45% of deals achieved <1% coupon.

Average Convertible Debt New Issue Coupon Rate and Conversion Premium 2022 – 2025

Sector 2022 2023 2024 Q4 2025 2025
All Deals
3.45% / 29%
3.50% / 30%
2.62% / 31%
1.90% / 32%
1.92% / 33%
Technology Sector
2.68% / 31%
2.80% / 27%
1.86% / 34%
1.18% / 30%
1.19% / 32%
Healthcare Sector
3.08% / 30%
2.56% / 30%
2.69% / 31%
0.46% / 32%
1.52% / 34%
Average 5y UST
3.00%
4.06%
4.13%
3.68%
3.92%

Pricing Results: Theoretical Value:  The graph below illustrates the theoretical values of deals priced in 2025.  A value of 100 represents a transaction pricing at fair value with no “cheapness”, and anything greater than 100 represents some new issue concession.  The average cheapness in Q4 was 2.2 points, slightly above the full-year average of 2.0 points.  New issue concessions widened slightly in the fourth quarter, with some signs of investor fatigue in the November/December window after heavy issuance volumes in the preceding months.

Pricing Results vs. Price Talk:  Pricing outcomes throughout the year generally favored issuers, with more than 80% of deals pricing at or better than the midpoint of price talk.  It is worth highlighting that every single deal in October priced at the midpoint or better, which speaks to the near-optimal market conditions at that time.  The consistently issuer-favorable results suggest that issuers and banks may have been able to be more aggressive with their initial marketing ranges in certain situations.

Secondary Trading:  The convertible asset class delivered strong absolute returns to investors in 2025, with the Bloomberg convertible index realizing an ~18% gain.  Valuations in the secondary market have been driven by compressed credit spreads and the continuation of the rate cut cycle, as well as elevated volatility levels throughout the year.

Personal Views: The views expressed in this report reflect our personal views.  This blog post is based on current public information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied on as such.  The information, opinions, estimates and forecasts contained herein are as of the date hereof and are subject to change without prior notification.  The large majority of reports by us are published at irregular intervals as appropriate in our judgment and ability to produce, so updates may not be made or available even when circumstances may have changed.

No Offer: This analysis is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies mentioned on this website. Before acting on information on this website, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances. You should not construe any of the material contained herein as business, financial, investment, hedging, trading, legal, regulatory, tax, or accounting advice. The price and value of investments referred to in this analysis and the income from them may fluctuate. Past performance is not a guide to future performance, future returns are not guaranteed, and a loss of original capital may occur.

No part of this material may be (i) copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or (ii) redistributed without the prior written consent of Matthews South, Inc.

Related Articles
Q3 2025 Convertible Market Review
Q2 2025 Convertible Market Review
Q1 2025 Convertible Market Review
2024 Year-End Convertible Market Review

Filed Under: Convertible, Convertible & Call Spread, Market Review

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